Player Overall Value

2017-18 NHL Season Projection In my previous post, I introduced the stat  Player Overall Value , which is a metric that is intended to be an all-encompassing stat, establishing the value of a player. Using an all-encompassing stat paves the way to do a season projection for the coming season, using POV as the main factor.  Method The model is relatively simple. We use each player's POV from the previous two seasons, weighting more heavily for the more recent season. This is also combined with an age curve introduced by Evolving Wild in  this  post, in order to project what their value will be for the coming season. Once the values for the coming season are determined, they are plugged into projected lineups for the season. These lineups are primarily drawn from the projected lineups done by The Hockey News in their season  preview , with a few adjustments based on recent roster moves. Each line is weighted differently for the projected amount of ice t...

Player Overall Value An all-encompassing stat intended to evaluate the value of a hockey player. The new trend in the statistical analysis of sports is all-encompassing stats. It began in baseball, the most statistically developed sport, with the introduction of WAR, or Wins Above Replacement. This stat is a calculation of a multitude of statistics, calculating the amount of runs that they add, and then this is linked to the amount of wins that they add. This is better explained  here , by Fangraphs.  WAR trickled down once it was developed by baseball, with different versions of all-encompassing stats making its way into basketball, with PER (Player Efficiency Rating), and VORP (Value over Replacement Player) becoming more mainstream statistics. These stats are popular because they make it easy to compare two players, and these stats can be applied to any era, making for interesting debates (Is Mike Trout better than Babe Ruth?).  With the fluidity of ho...